First second-round poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 53% and Lula with 47%
PL senator leads valid votes and opens a six-point advantage over President Lula in the PoderData/Aya poll
TL;DR
- Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads President Lula 53% to 47% in valid votes for the presidential runoff election on October 25th.
- This is the first poll from PoderData after the first round, showing an increased advantage for Bolsonaro compared to the initial results.
- Lula's percentage has decreased by three points in the last week, while Bolsonaro's has advanced by the same proportion.
- 54% of respondents believe Flávio Bolsonaro has a better chance of winning, compared to 37% for Lula.
- Bolsonaro leads among voters with complete high school education and in the Center-West, Southeast, and South regions.
- Lula maintains a preference among women voters.
- Bolsonaro's rejection rate has decreased to 43%, while Lula's rejection rate is 46%.
- 49% of voters disapprove of Lula's personal work, and 50% disapprove of his administration's general evaluation.
- Historically, no presidential candidate who finished second in the first round has won the runoff election in Brazil.