Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are tied in both rounds, says Meio/Ideia
Poll shows a difference of only 1 point in the first round; in a potential second round, the score is 48.5% to 48%
TL;DR
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Flávio Bolsonaro by 1 percentage point in a simulated first round of the 2026 presidential election (39.4% vs. 38.4%).
- In a potential second-round scenario, the candidates are tied at 48.5% for Lula and 48% for Bolsonaro.
- Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema are other candidates mentioned in the first-round simulation with lower percentages.
- President Lula's approval rating is split exactly between approval and disapproval at 49% each.
- A more detailed evaluation of Lula's government shows 35.3% consider it 'great' or 'good,' while 41% consider it 'bad' or 'terrible.'