Nexus/BTG releases presidential poll; check the numbers
Nexus/BTG Pactual poll shows the presidential race for the 2026 elections. Read on Gazeta do Povo.
TL;DR
- Lula leads the stimulated first-round presidential poll with 40% of voter intentions.
- Flávio Bolsonaro is second with 37%, resulting in a technical tie within the 2-point margin of error.
- In simulated second-round matchups, Lula ties with Augusto Cury (43%) and Ronaldo Caiado (45%).
- Lula is projected to win against Renan Santos (47% to 39%) and Romeu Zema (47% to 41%).
- The poll was conducted by Nexus, commissioned by BTG Pactual, interviewing 2,006 people from September 18-20, 2026, with a 95% confidence level and a 2-point margin of error.