Real Time in São Paulo: Tarcísio Leads for Governor and Senate Shows Technical Tie

A Real Time Big Data survey shows the current governor ahead in the state dispute, Flávio Bolsonaro's advantage for President in the state, and balance in the Senate race.

Real Time in São Paulo: Tarcísio Leads for Governor and Senate Shows Technical Tie

TL;DR

  • Tarcísio de Freitas leads in São Paulo gubernatorial race intentions for both first and second rounds.
  • A technical tie exists for the two Senate seats, with Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Simone Tebet in the lead.
  • Flávio Bolsonaro leads in intentions for President among São Paulo voters in both first and second-round scenarios.
  • The Real Time Big Data survey interviewed 2,000 voters in São Paulo between September 16-19.
  • The margin of error is 2 percentage points with a 95% confidence level.