The numbers from the new Nexus/BTG poll for the presidency
The PT candidate saw downward fluctuations compared to the previous week's scenarios, but remains numerically ahead of his main opponent.
TL;DR
- The Nexus/BTG Pactual poll shows a technical tie between Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in the first round.
- In the first round, Lula has 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 37%, with a margin of error of two points.
- In a second-round scenario between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, the tie persists with Lula numerically ahead by one point (46% to 45%).
- Lula also shows potential ties with Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) and Augusto Cury (Avante) in other second-round simulations.
- The poll surveyed 2,006 Brazilian voters between September 18-20.