Quaest: Lula reaches 46% of valid votes and Flávio Bolsonaro has 45%
Poll shows the president four points away from winning in the first round
TL;DR
- President Lula has 46% of valid votes, while Flávio Bolsonaro has 45%.
- Lula is four percentage points away from the 50% threshold for a first-round victory.
- The difference between Lula and Bolsonaro is one percentage point, within the margin of error.
- Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado each have 3% of the valid votes.
- The poll surveyed 3,702 voters aged 16 and over from October 2nd to 3rd.
- The margin of error is two percentage points, with a 95% confidence level.
- The poll's methodology uses the 'likely voter' model to estimate valid votes.