O instituto Datafolha atualizou, nesta quinta-feira 1º, a sua pesquisa sobre as intenções de voto para o Palácio do Planalto. Segundo o novo levantamento, Lula (PT) está na liderança com 45% dos votos válidos no primeiro turno, contra 40% de Flávio Bolsonaro. Na conta, são excluídos os votos brancos, nulos e indecisos.

Foram 2.506 eleitores entrevistados entre os dias 28 de setembro e 1º de outubro. A margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais. O levantamento foi encomendado pelo jornal Folha de S.Paulo e pela TV Globo, com o registro no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral BR-08039/2026.

Veja os números

Primeiro turno (votos válidos)

Lula (PT): 45%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 40%
Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante): 4%
Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3%
Renan Santos (Missão): 3%
Romeu Zema (Novo): 1%
Samara Martins (UP): 1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi (Democrata): 1%
Edmilson Costa (PCB): 0
Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0
Hertz Dias (PSTU): 0
Clariana Barão (DC): 0
Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB): 0

","freeContentEncoded","textContent","published","strategy","curl-ready","locked","deletedAt","isSyncedFromOwnBlog","original","duplicatesCount",0,"duplicateVersion","originalArticleId","errorsCount","appearance","color","backgroundColor","shortSummary","Datafolha's latest poll shows Lula leading with 45% of valid votes for the first round, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro's 40%. The survey included 2,506 voters and has a margin of error of two percentage points.","summary","According to a new Datafolha survey, Lula is leading in the first-round presidential election intentions with 45% of valid votes. Flávio Bolsonaro follows with 40%, and other candidates have significantly lower percentages. The poll interviewed 2,506 voters between September 28 and October 1, with a margin of error of two percentage points.","bullets",[1082,1083,1084,1085,1086],"persons",[1069,1070,1071,1072,1073,1074,1075,1076,1077,1078,1079,1080,1081],"places",[1068],"words",217,"sentiment","subject","politics","meta",{"_295":1031,"_1032":1033,"_1034":1035},"eventId","124ed7713b31f5a24fe1c9150910687059b034a7415d80b417d6be83dee5a81b","nostrRootEvent","event",{"_24":255,"_997":1019,"_139":94,"_180":1020,"_1001":1002,"_216":1021,"_537":1022},"authorNPub","markdown","O instituto Datafolha atualizou, nesta quinta-feira 1º, a sua pesquisa sobre as [intenções de voto](https://www.cartacapital.com.br/politica/datafolha-lula-tem-42-no-1o-turno-contra-38-de-flavio-bolsonaro/) para o Palácio do Planalto. Segundo o novo levantamento, **Lula** (PT) está na liderança com 45% dos votos válidos no primeiro turno, contra 40% de Flávio Bolsonaro. Na conta, são excluídos os votos brancos, nulos e indecisos.\n\nForam 2.506 eleitores entrevistados entre os dias 28 de setembro e 1º de outubro. A margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais. O levantamento foi encomendado pelo jornal _Folha de S.Paulo_ e pela _TV Globo_, com o registro no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral BR-08039/2026.\n\n### Veja os números\n\n#### Primeiro turno (votos válidos)\n\n* **Lula** (PT): 45%\n* **Flávio Bolsonaro** (PL): 40%\n* **Escritor Augusto Cury** (Avante): 4%\n* **Ronaldo Caiado** (PSD): 3%\n* **Renan Santos** (Missão): 3%\n* **Romeu Zema** (Novo): 1%\n* **Samara Martins** (UP): 1%\n* **Veterinário Wilson Grassi** (Democrata): 1%\n* **Edmilson Costa** (PCB): 0\n* **Rui Costa Pimenta** (PCO): 0\n* **Hertz Dias** (PSTU): 0\n* **Clariana Barão** (DC): 0\n* **Leonardo Avalanche** (PRTB): 0","freeMarkdown","kind1EventId","kind30023EventId","c330f780bb82ed76336fde3a3c87c2d18960e0474cf6e37aecd99af96521a8b9","kind30023",{"_24":265,"_997":998,"_139":999,"_180":1000,"_1001":1002,"_216":1003,"_537":1004},"publishedToNostr","htmlContentKind30023","

Veja os números

Primeiro turno (votos válidos)

Lula (PT): 45%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 40%
Escritor Augusto Cury (Avante): 4%
Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3%
Renan Santos (Missão): 3%
Romeu Zema (Novo): 1%
Samara Martins (UP): 1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi (Democrata): 1%
Edmilson Costa (PCB): 0
Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0
Hertz Dias (PSTU): 0
Clariana Barão (DC): 0
Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB): 0

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eleitores Lula perdeu no primeiro turno em 2026 comparando com os votos do primeiro turno de 2022, @grok?",{},{"_24":954,"_48":955,"_365":956,"_295":57,"_367":12,"_368":35,"_303":957,"_370":35,"_372":958,"_51":959,"_375":960,"_377":961,"_380":12,"_381":962,"_314":963,"_384":-5,"_385":90,"_38":35,"_386":12,"_387":964,"_389":965,"_391":12,"_392":-5,"_394":966,"_396":90,"_397":967,"_399":968,"_401":969,"_403":12,"_404":230,"_405":90,"_406":970,"_408":971},{"_414":946},"Tue Oct 06 03:29:17 +0000 2026",669,"https://twitter.com/allanconta5/status/2107312210070343767",[230,945],{},113,[947],{"_365":948,"_419":949,"_356":950,"_421":951},"Grok","1720665183188922368",[952,953],"grok",107,112,"1884016040533012480","https://x.com/allanconta5","Allan Dos Santos",{"_48":994,"_38":995},"allanconta5","Mon Jan 27 23:10:29 +0000 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