AtlasIntel releases presidential poll; see the numbers

AtlasIntel poll shows the dispute for President of the Republic in first and second-round scenarios. Check the results on Gazeta do Povo

AtlasIntel releases presidential poll; see the numbers

TL;DR

  • Lula leads Flávio Bolsonaro 46.3% to 43.9% in valid first-round votes.
  • Second-round simulations show Lula with narrow leads, some resulting in a technical tie.
  • Lula also leads in simulated second-round matches against Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Escritor Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos.
  • The poll surveyed 5,015 people between September 17-22, 2026, with a 1-point margin of error.