What the first polls for president in the 2nd round say
Three institutes have released polls with voting intentions in the clash between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula. Read on Gazeta do Povo.
TL;DR
- First polls for the second round of the 2026 presidential elections show Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula.
- Three polling institutes (AtlasIntel, PoderData/Aya, Datafolha) released their findings.
- PoderData/Aya and AtlasIntel show Bolsonaro leading beyond the margin of error.
- Datafolha shows a numerical lead for Bolsonaro, but within the margin of error, indicating a technical tie.
- Voter perception indicates a higher likelihood of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro, whereas previously Lula was seen as the favorite.
- Lula's situation is considered more difficult in the second round, especially since he received fewer valid votes than Bolsonaro in the first round.
- The article details the percentages from the polls and compares them to pre-first-round polling data.
- Methodologies and dates for the mentioned polls are provided.