AtlasIntel confirms Lula's lead in the first round and points to a tie with Flávio Bolsonaro in the second

AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey indicates recovery of the PL candidate. President Lula maintains the advantage in the first round and leads in image preference...

AtlasIntel confirms Lula's lead in the first round and points to a tie with Flávio Bolsonaro in the second

TL;DR

  • Lula leads first-round presidential election polls with 44.1%, while Flávio Bolsonaro is second with 41.7%.
  • A simulated second-round election shows a technical tie, with Bolsonaro at 47.2% and Lula at 46.8%, within the margin of error.
  • Bolsonaro has gained five percentage points in two weeks, while Lula has gained one percentage point.
  • Other candidates like Renan Santos (5.1%) and Augusto Cury (3.5%) trail significantly.
  • 53.6% disapprove of President Lula's performance, while 45.4% approve.
  • 46.6% of respondents fear Lula's potential re-election, and 46.2% fear Bolsonaro's potential election.
  • Lula has the highest rejection rate at 52%, followed by Bolsonaro at 50.2%.
  • Lula has the highest positive image rating at 45%, while Bolsonaro has 42%.