Datafolha releases poll for president on the eve of the 1st round
On the eve of the first round, Datafolha poll shows the state of the dispute for President of the Republic. Read on Gazeta do Povo.
TL;DR
- Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) are technically tied in a stimulated first-round poll for the 2026 presidential election.
- Lula has 45% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 42% in the stimulated first-round scenario, considering valid votes.
- In a simulated second round, Lula leads Flávio Bolsonaro 47% to 46%, including blank, null, and undecided votes.
- A spontaneous scenario shows Lula leading with 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro with 33%.
- The Datafolha poll interviewed 4,006 people on October 3, 2026, with a margin of error of two percentage points.