Lula leads in metropolitan areas and ties Flávio Bolsonaro in the interior, says Datafolha
The president registers 42% against 33% for the senator in metropolitan areas; in the interior, both appear with 38% in the first round
TL;DR
- Lula leads Flávio Bolsonaro by nine points in metropolitan areas (42% vs. 33%).
- Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are tied in the interior regions (38% each).
- In a hypothetical second round, Lula leads by a slim margin in metropolitan areas (49% vs. 43%) and is technically tied in the interior (47% vs. 46%).
- Nationally, Lula has 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 36%, a technical tie within the margin of error.
- Lula shows a significant advantage among lower-income voters (up to two minimum wages).
- Flávio Bolsonaro leads among evangelical voters, while Lula leads among Catholics.
- Lula leads among women, and men are statistically tied.
- Regional differences are pronounced, with Lula leading strongly in the Northeast and Flávio Bolsonaro leading in the South.
- Voters with lower education levels favor Lula, while those with higher education are more evenly split or favor Flávio Bolsonaro.
- The poll surveyed 2,002 voters between September 22-23.