Lula remains competitive and second-round result is unpredictable, says Nexus CEO

BTG Nexus poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro with an advantage, but highlights Lula's competitiveness and risks of abstention

Lula remains competitive and second-round result is unpredictable, says Nexus CEO

TL;DR

  • Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula 52% to 48% in a second-round presidential race, according to BTG Nexus poll.
  • The election outcome is considered unpredictable, with Lula remaining competitive despite Bolsonaro's lead.
  • Abstention poses a significant risk, especially for Bolsonaro's campaign, as some voters may not turn out if they perceive the election as already decided.
  • Bolsonaro has shifted his campaign strategy, notably by announcing support for ending the 6x1 work shift, a point previously pushed by Lula.
  • The absence of gubernatorial races in most states increases the challenge for both campaigns to mobilize voters.