See the numbers from the latest Quaest poll before the 1st round
The Quaest poll for president heard 3,702 voters from October 2nd to 3rd, 2026. See the numbers on Gazeta do Povo.
TL;DR
- Quaest poll of 3,702 voters shows a technical tie between Lula (46%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (45%) in valid first-round votes.
- A simulated second-round scenario also shows a close race, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 42% and Lula at 44%, including undecided and blank/null votes.
- Other candidates listed received 3% or less in the first-round scenario.
- The poll was conducted from October 2nd to 3rd, 2026, with a 2-percentage-point margin of error and a 95% confidence level.