The numbers in the 2nd round dispute between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, according to AtlasIntel
For the second week in a row, Jair Bolsonaro's son has a small numerical advantage
TL;DR
- AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll shows a technical tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in a second-round scenario.
- Flávio Bolsonaro has a slight numerical advantage (47.2% vs. 46.8%), within the 1-point margin of error.
- This is the second week in a row Bolsonaro has held a slim lead over Lula.
- Lula wins in simulated second-round scenarios against Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, Augusto Cury, and Renan Santos.
- Lula leads in first-round simulations, but his advantage has decreased.
- The poll surveyed 5,018 people online between September 11-16, with a margin of error of 1 percentage point.