The numbers from the new Paraná Pesquisas poll for the Rio de Janeiro government
The PSD candidate has more than 50% of the valid votes in the scenario without Anthony Garotinho's name, who is trying to overturn a conviction in the TSE to run.
TL;DR
- Eduardo Paes (PSD) may be elected in the first round if Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) is barred from running.
- Garotinho's candidacy is currently *sub júdice* after being denied by TRE-RJ, with an appeal pending at the TSE.
- In valid votes, Paes has 47.9% with Garotinho included and 52% without him, potentially surpassing the 50% threshold for first-round victory.
- Eduardo Paes leads both first-round scenarios tested, followed by Douglas Ruas (PL).
- The poll surveyed 1,600 voters between September 29 and October 1, with a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.